Gold 価格と円の相関

はじめに


・下のチャートに見られる Gold 価格と円の相関は、

The Japanese yen, another safe-haven asset,


 であるからだと。

引用



20170810_gold_yen.jpg


Ref: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-08-09/under-any-analysis-it%E2%80%99s-insanity-what-war-north-korea-could-look


(2017-08-10)

一般人が保有すべき Gold の量

はじめに


・…の上手い説明を見かけたので紹介する。(過去記事でも似たような話を取り上げたような気もするが、どうせ誰も覚えていないw ので気にしない)

抜粋(デタラメ)


・保有量すべき Gold の具体的な数値はないが、一般論でいえば…。

・Gold 価格が気になって眠れないようであれば保有しすぎ。

・国債や株などで数万円の損失が気になるのであれば、そもそも投資をしてはいけない。

一部引用



How Much Gold Should The Common Man Own?


How Much Gold?

There is no one correct percentage, but this rule applies: If you have trouble sleeping at night or are constantly worried about the price, then you likely have too much. If you are worried about a price drop of a few hundred dollars, or the equivalent percent in stock or bonds, you probably should not be investing in anything.

Ref: https://mishtalk.com/2017/08/08/how-much-gold-should-the-common-man-own/


(2017-08-10)

Gold 価格が $65,000 になる…という説

はじめに


・この手の願望記事はこれまで何度も眼にしてきた。ついにここまで願望がエスカレートするようになった…という意味で紹介しておく。

一部引用



Gold Price: USD 65,000/oz in 5 years?


Gold Price $65,000 +

But what would the real price of physical gold be in the absence of the subduing influence of the fractional and limitless paper gold market, or how do we even approach calculating a range of such physical gold prices?

Throughout history, gold has been the ultimate money and ultimate store of value. Until 1971, physical gold backed the international monetary system. Throughout monetary history and up until the latter half of the 20th century, gold played a critical role in backing paper currencies and in backing monetary debt. It is thus still appropriate to analyse the value of gold in relation to the value of currencies and the value of outstanding debt.

Approximately 190,000 metric tonnes of gold have been mined throughout history. Nearly all of this gold can still be accounted for in one form or another and is known as 'above-ground gold'. About 90,000 tonnes of this gold is held in the form of jewellery, 33,000 tonnes of gold are (supposedly) held by central banks, 40,000 tonnes are attributed to private gold holders, with the remainder having been used in industrial and other fabrication uses.

While 190,000 tonnes may sound like a lot, at the current gold price of USD 1250 per ounce, all the gold ever mined in the world is valued at less than $8 trillion, and official central bank gold holdings (monetary gold) are valued at just $1.3 trillion. The US Treasury claims to hold 8133 tonnes (or 261.5 million troy ounces) in its official gold reserves (a figure which, by the way, could be far lower since it has never been independently audited). At the current gold price, these US Treasury gold reserves are worth just under $320 billion.

Compare these gold valuations to total outstanding money supply figures. The total broad US money supply is currently running in excess of $18 trillion (using a "continuation M3" measure). For the US money supply of $18 trillion to be fully backed by the US Treasury’s gold, this would require a gold price of $68,840 per troy ounce.

Ref: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-08-07/gold-price-usd-65000oz-5-years


(2017-08-08)

中国の Gold 保有量は 2万トンを超えている

はじめに


・…という説を紹介する。

・一般市民が 1,6000トン以上を保有し、中国政府は 4,000トンを保有しているから…というのがその根拠。な~んだ。

引用



Estimated Chinese Gold Reserves Surpass 20,000t


My best estimate as of June 2017 with respect to total above ground gold reserves within the Chinese domestic market is 20,193 tonnes. The majority of these reserves are held by the citizenry, an estimated 16,193 tonnes; the residual 4,000 tonnes, which is a speculative yet conservative estimate, is held by the Chinese central bank the People’s Bank of China.

Ref: https://www.bullionstar.com/blogs/koos-jansen/estimated-chinese-gold-reserves-surpass-20000-tonnes/



コメント


・中国人、一人あたりで換算すると 20g 以下だが、日本人はもっと少ないような気がする。

・日本の保有量に関連して下のような話を見かけるが、私は全く信じない。海水中からの…なんて話が出て来る時点で…。


世界で有数の「金塊保有国・日本」は、最終的に、世界経済を救わざるを得ないのではないか



日本が世界で一番の「金の保有国」であるということだ。日本が保有している金は、おおむね以下のようなものである。

Ref: http://blog.goo.ne.jp/itagaki-eiken/e/95f2aa973e31f2f59b1beedf8579dff2


(2017-08-03)

日本の茶碗(金繕い)と Gold 投資

はじめに


・Gold 投資の記事に日本の茶碗がネタとして取り上げられていたので紹介する。

・株価下落などで資産にダメージを受けても、Gold に投資していれば繕える…という趣旨。

引用



What Investors Can Learn From the Japanese Art of Kintsukuroi



20170803_gold.jpg


- What investors can learn from the Japanese art of Kintsukuroi or Kintsugi - art of repairing broken pottery with gold
- Investors and savers can protect their savings with gold
- Savers and investors are being punished by negative to low interest rates
- Global debt levels, stock bubbles and reduced liquidity will lead to crisis
- Reinforce cracks with gold prior to money pot shatters

Ref:
http://www.goldcore.com/us/gold-blog/investors-can-learn-japanese-art-kintsukuroi/


(2017-08-03)
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